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27.10.2025 13:34

Is Winter in Norway Beyond Saving? Shocking Findings from Researchers

Norway could lose up to 32 winter days over the next 75 years. The changes concern the number of days with temperatures below zero, rooted in long-term climate trends. Experts highlight the consequences for the environment, society, and the economy.
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Is Winter in Norway Beyond Saving? Shocking Findings from Researchers
In the southern part of the country, rain has increasingly replaced snowfall for years. Fot. Adobe Stock, licencja standardowa
The average length of winter in Norway is systematically decreasing. Over the next 75 years, the country could lose an average of 32 days of the winter season, defined as the period with an average daily temperature below zero. The forecasts are based on the RCP 4.5 emission scenario, which corresponds to current global climate policy. The phenomenon affects both southern and northern regions of the country, where winters are already becoming milder.

Data Shows a Clear Trend

Winter temperatures in Norway could rise by 2.3°C by the year 2100. The ski season, defined as the number of days with a snow cover above 25 cm, will be shortened by an average of 44 days.

Norway's largest glacier, Jostedalsbreen, could lose up to half of its ice mass by the end of the century. In regions such as Finnmark, winters may shorten by 20–40 days, and most precipitation will occur as rain.
Heavy rainfall means increased risks such as landslides and mudslides.

Heavy rainfall means increased risks such as landslides and mudslides.Photo: CC0

Consequences for the Environment and Economy

A shorter winter will have consequences for many sectors—from winter sports to agriculture and infrastructure. Fewer days with frost mean a shorter ski season, more rain instead of snow, and a higher risk of landslides or floods.

Ski resorts such as Bortelid in Agder are already experiencing shorter and less stable seasons. Researchers emphasize that investments in adapting to new climate conditions are necessary.
Minister of Climate and Environment Andreas Bjelland Eriksen points out that in the coming years Norway will experience fewer winters and more precipitation, resulting in a wetter and more unstable climate. In his view, the country must simultaneously reduce emissions and adapt society to the new, warmer reality.
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