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Controversy Surrounds Norwegian Budget. Has the Government Broken Its Tax Promise?
The Labour Party needs partners to support its 2026 budget proposal. Fot. Alf Simensen/NTB Kommunikasjon (Flickr.com, CC BY-NC 2.0 DEED)
Centre Party leader Trygve Slagsvold Vedum warns that the Labour Party’s proposed change to the taxation rules for small hydropower plants is "directly wrong." The plan involves introducing, from 2027, a windfall tax obligation for plants with a capacity as low as 1.5 MW—instead of the current 10 MW threshold.
The government has proposed lowering the capacity threshold at which the windfall tax applies to small hydropower plants—from the current 10 MW to 1.5 MW starting in 2027. According to Vedum and the Centre Party, this could lead some investors in the small hydropower sector to face financial difficulties.
Previously, the industry had received assurances from the Labour Party that the tax and fee system would remain stable for four years—this was confirmed in communication with the industry association. Now, critics argue, this new government proposal contradicts that earlier promise.
Previously, the industry had received assurances from the Labour Party that the tax and fee system would remain stable for four years—this was confirmed in communication with the industry association. Now, critics argue, this new government proposal contradicts that earlier promise.
Norwegian Tax Instability?
Representatives of the Conservative Party (Høyre) emphasize that the proposal is part of a recent trend of instability in tax policy. In their view, these changes will discourage investors from putting capital into the renewable energy sector at a crucial moment.
Meanwhile, the Red Party (Rødt) supports lowering the tax threshold—arguing that smaller power plants also impact the environment and should be subject to more effective regulation. The Labour Party has not yet responded to questions regarding the justification for this change or its consistency with previous election promises.
Meanwhile, the Red Party (Rødt) supports lowering the tax threshold—arguing that smaller power plants also impact the environment and should be subject to more effective regulation. The Labour Party has not yet responded to questions regarding the justification for this change or its consistency with previous election promises.
The government has repeatedly promised to simplify the tax system./In the photo: Jonas Gahr Støre, Photo: Labour Party press materials, Flickr.com (CC BY-ND 2.0)
The planned lowering of the capacity threshold for the windfall tax puts the small hydropower sector in a state of uncertainty. The introduction of these regulations in 2027 could mean a significant change for investors and operators in this industry. As the political debate intensifies, the issue of tax stability in the energy sector is becoming one of Norway’s key economic topics.
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